Salamandra111
0xe6c410ec26df3bf5733ab5c19d235c44fc17c574
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $173.3k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.74at 0.435Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.71at 0.960Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
- +$1.03at 0.997Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.85at 0.920Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$-36.86at 0.560Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 03:09 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1626393068 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 19:19 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999993 | $1000.00 |
| 09-04 19:16 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8553664797 | $1000.00 |
| 09-04 19:16 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $1000.00 |
| 08-04 21:07 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $200.00 |
| 07-28 07:20 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0020034588 | $7.79 |
| 07-28 07:19 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4865635126 | $223.74 |
| 07-20 17:06 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.006 | $30.00 |
| 07-20 17:00 | Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $99.97 |
| 07-20 17:00 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $14.63 |
| 07-20 17:00 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.34 |
| 07-20 17:00 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.13 |
| 07-20 17:00 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $18.27 |
| 07-20 17:00 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $14.73 |
| 07-20 17:00 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $12.55 |