CryptoGhoul
0xe6b70464c8aadb6a792074e28cfd9a9888a227d3
- Realised P&L
- $43.49
- Volume
- $28.1k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $11.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.046 | $4.33 | −$2.97 |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.029 | $1.93 | −$0.03 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.021 | $1.86 | −$0.46 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.017 | $1.82 | −$1.37 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.024 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.034 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.37 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.84at 0.510Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$91.01at 0.529Solana ETF approved by July 31?
- +$84.04at 0.539Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$54.59at 0.483Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$48.41at 0.684Timberwolves vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 13:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9973051695 | $522.20 |
| 07-05 16:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.9949999975 | $351.20 |
| 07-05 16:10 | Will Solana reach $90 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.998992397 | $113.00 |
| 07-05 16:10 | Will Solana reach $90 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $56.00 |
| 07-05 16:06 | Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 16:05 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0197308709 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 16:03 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0783892617 | $7.30 |
| 07-05 16:02 | Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0297204879 | $3.19 |
| 06-21 12:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $532.57 |
| 06-14 13:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.9986319135 | $532.00 |
| 06-07 12:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $531.00 |
| 06-06 02:28 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $530.00 |
| 06-04 11:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $529.00 |
| 06-03 12:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $528.00 |
| 06-02 10:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2? | BUY | 0.9907537311 | $523.00 |