PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CryptoGhoul

0xe6b70464c8aadb6a792074e28cfd9a9888a227d3

Realised P&L
$29.62
Volume
$29.0k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$305.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana reach $110 October 26-November 1? · No0.9990.993$299.04−$1.96
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0290.057$3.85+$1.89
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0270.035$3.09+$0.77
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$5.37
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$3.19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$7.30
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$2.88
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:58Will Solana reach $110 October 26-November 1?BUY0.9989999977$301.00
10-10 23:55Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00
10-01 20:04Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$1.00
09-16 14:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16?BUY0.998$420.00
07-29 13:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?BUY0.9973051695$522.20
07-05 16:11Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?BUY0.9949999975$351.20
07-05 16:10Will Solana reach $90 June 29-July 5?BUY0.998992397$113.00
07-05 16:10Will Solana reach $90 June 29-July 5?BUY0.998$56.00
07-05 16:06Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-05 16:05Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0197308709$1.00
07-05 16:03Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0783892617$7.30
07-05 16:02Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0297204879$3.19
06-21 12:43Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 21?BUY0.998$532.57
06-14 13:51Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14?BUY0.9986319135$532.00
06-07 12:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7?BUY0.998$531.00