CryptoGhoul
0xe6b70464c8aadb6a792074e28cfd9a9888a227d3
- Realised P&L
- $41.97
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $9.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.044 | $3.83 | +$1.51 |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.056 | $3.75 | +$1.79 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.006 | $0.61 | −$6.69 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.005 | $0.54 | −$2.65 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.009 | $0.43 | −$0.57 |
| Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.004 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.37 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.32at 0.749Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 13-19?
- +$251.13at 0.749Will XRP reach $1.50 April 6-12?
- +$249.99at 0.750Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 30-April 5?
- +$199.56at 0.749Will Solana reach $100 March 9-15?
- +$97.85at 0.510Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $420.00 |
| 07-29 13:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9973051695 | $522.20 |
| 07-05 16:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.9949999975 | $351.20 |
| 07-05 16:10 | Will Solana reach $90 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.998992397 | $113.00 |
| 07-05 16:10 | Will Solana reach $90 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $56.00 |
| 07-05 16:06 | Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 16:05 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0197308709 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 16:03 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0783892617 | $7.30 |
| 07-05 16:02 | Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0297204879 | $3.19 |
| 06-21 12:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $532.57 |
| 06-14 13:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.9986319135 | $532.00 |
| 06-07 12:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $531.00 |
| 06-06 02:28 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $530.00 |
| 06-04 11:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $529.00 |
| 06-03 12:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $528.00 |