PolyBot

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Traders

Intendant-Jean-Talon

0xe6a8c937ed99a5587f6f699833d4a25431a800c7

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$1.30M
Markets traded
598
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded598
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0300.011$1.2k$2.3k
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0410.025$1.1k$726.99
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3900.575$115.00+$37.00
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1500.155$108.05+$3.67
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.5000.705$66.50+$19.34
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.4100.455$45.50+$4.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1670.080$43.79$48.17
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? · Yes0.3500.370$37.00+$2.00
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1520.018$16.12$116.72
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? · No0.3150.000$0.00$104.00
Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$45.84
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$19.06
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? · No0.6900.000$0.00$84.87
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$106.00
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$24.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 02:22Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.79$79.00
06-22 02:21Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.86$86.00
06-19 20:12Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.67$134.00
06-19 16:20Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.744$11.52
06-19 16:19Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.4215713163$59.02
06-19 16:17Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.79$63.20
06-18 21:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.85$170.00
06-18 19:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.36$14.40
06-18 19:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.56$167.42
06-18 19:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.14$200.41
06-18 15:30Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.87$108.99
06-18 13:01Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.51$71.40
06-17 13:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.39$15.60
06-17 13:45Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.86$86.00
06-17 13:44Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?SELL0.987$98.69