PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

KinKitsune

0xe65f020522dc43ae9c85c8e03a4f403414899352

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$166.1k
Markets traded
181
Open portfolio
$48.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded181
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.914$19.74+$6.13
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? · Yes0.6500.660$7.92+$0.12
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.2610.429$6.44+$2.53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? · Yes0.5700.630$6.30+$0.60
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0420.041$4.05−$0.15
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5400.285$1.43−$1.27
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? · Yes0.2600.240$1.20−$0.10
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.105$1.05−$0.25
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? · No0.3490.000$0.00−$2.31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.2790.000$0.00−$13.95
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30? · Anthropic0.0260.000$0.00−$2.60
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$1.01
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00−$91.79
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$5.40
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5530.000$0.00−$21.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 07:28Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?BUY0.65$7.80
10-30 07:23Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?BUY0.57$5.70
10-30 07:08Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.942$73.85
10-30 07:05Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?BUY0.26$1.30
10-30 06:30Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.042$4.20
10-16 17:47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$24.75
10-16 17:46Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.22$2.20
10-16 17:46Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.042$12.60
10-16 17:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.12$3.00
10-16 17:35Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.41$4.10
10-16 17:35Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.166$5.64
10-16 17:35Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?SELL0.69$6.90
10-16 17:33Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.36$3.24
10-16 17:27Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?SELL0.19$0.95
10-16 17:27Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.034$0.34