KinKitsune
0xe65f020522dc43ae9c85c8e03a4f403414899352
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $166.1k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $48.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.40at 0.424England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$60.69at 0.556Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$58.54at 0.313Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$55.00at 0.160US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
- +$46.80at 0.630Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 07:28 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $7.80 |
| 10-30 07:23 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 10-30 07:08 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.942 | $73.85 |
| 10-30 07:05 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 10-30 06:30 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.042 | $4.20 |
| 10-16 17:47 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $24.75 |
| 10-16 17:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 10-16 17:46 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.042 | $12.60 |
| 10-16 17:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 17:35 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 10-16 17:35 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.166 | $5.64 |
| 10-16 17:35 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SELL | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 10-16 17:33 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.24 |
| 10-16 17:27 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 10-16 17:27 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.34 |