PolyBot

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Traders

D-Renato-C

0xe657e0cbbbf63d9f6d8f0d70a93a0982da3218f2

Realised P&L
$-350.88
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$170.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.3700.565$146.90+$50.70
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.2700.153$12.24$9.36
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0150.068$6.75+$5.27
Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0030.009$3.06+$2.04
Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0110.016$1.60+$0.50
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17? · No0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3860.000$0.00$30.00
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$10.00
ITF Brisbane: Nikita Volonski vs Jake Delaney · Nikita Volonski0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? · No0.0400.000$0.00$2.00
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 17? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:05Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.014288517$0.50
09-17 18:05Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.011$0.61
09-17 18:04Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.003$0.15
09-12 03:10Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.515$108.43
08-13 01:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.37$44.40
08-13 01:50Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.37$51.80
08-13 01:47Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2849740906$60.00
07-19 21:12Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7224999986$100.00
07-19 20:50Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?SELL0.15$6.25
07-19 19:12Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
07-18 21:24France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.2899999956$30.00
07-15 21:12ITF Brisbane: Nikita Volonski vs Jake DelaneyBUY0.1904761905$1.00
07-15 20:54England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.96$100.00
07-15 20:48England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.5325$11.18
07-15 20:31Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.0775$4.88