0xE635bA340aAF7A02daFbcF0221797083B3810597-1779672647973
0xe635ba340aaf7a02dafbcf0221797083b3810597
- Realised P&L
- $-11.35
- Volume
- $807.67
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $15.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes | 0.910 | 1.000 | $3.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes | 0.860 | 1.000 | $2.33 | +$0.33 |
| Özgür Özel arrested by June 30? · No | 0.950 | 1.000 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.980 | 0.982 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.500 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.500 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.115 | $1.35 | −$0.65 |
| Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.120 | $0.65 | −$1.35 |
| Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will "Algorithm" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on May 25? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 02:16 | Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask? | BUY | 0.0087802309 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 02:14 | Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 02:09 | Özgür Özel arrested by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 02:05 | Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.859999656 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 02:01 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 02:01 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 01:59 | Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.00 |
| 05-25 01:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on May 25? | BUY | 0.1205847232 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 01:55 | Will "Algorithm" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 01:47 | Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 01:44 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.979999657 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 01:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |