PolyBot

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Traders

0xe5ec24f47414c848fe9ecb3cbc65c114e7575c81

0xe5ec24f47414c848fe9ecb3cbc65c114e7575c81

Realised P&L
$-31.21
Volume
$78.0k
Markets traded
504
Open portfolio
$112.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded504
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.870$9.79+$0.79
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.9910.984$8.93−$0.07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1280.123$8.71−$0.29
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? · Yes0.2020.090$8.67−$10.83
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.9530.967$4.56+$0.06
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9770.976$4.49−$0.01
NATO dissolves before 2027? · No0.9400.979$3.45+$0.14
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · No0.8600.964$3.36+$0.36
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · No0.8500.905$3.19+$0.19
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9090.965$3.18+$0.18
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9780.982$3.11+$0.01
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4000.745$2.79+$1.29
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.395$2.76−$0.24
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? · No0.7250.640$2.65−$0.35
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.7100.885$1.87+$0.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 14:50Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?BUY0.992$1.50
10-16 14:42Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?SELL0.67$1.72
10-15 12:41Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.930999982$1.50
10-15 10:45Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.91$1.48
10-15 10:34Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.9199998773$1.50
10-15 10:34Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.91$1.47
10-15 06:15Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.9299995536$1.50
10-15 05:15Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?SELL0.957$1.59
10-14 22:10Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.759999696$1.50
10-14 21:04US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.96$1.50
10-14 20:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.13$3.60
10-12 21:12Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?BUY0.9$1.50
10-12 21:10Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?BUY0.2719999942$1.50
10-12 21:07Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.29$2.07
10-12 01:55Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.5829270008$1.50