0xe5ec24f47414c848fe9ecb3cbc65c114e7575c81
- Realised P&L
- $-35.91
- Volume
- $77.7k
- Markets traded
- 478
- Open portfolio
- $117.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded478
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.39at 0.270US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$37.10at 0.077Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
- +$29.61at 0.400Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$26.66at 0.561Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$13.78at 0.357Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:31 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299995536 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 19:04 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.49 |
| 09-16 11:25 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 11:17 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | SELL | 0.966 | $1.53 |
| 09-15 21:46 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.8499999433 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 21:46 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 21:39 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 20:57 | Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.8199996829 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 18:43 | Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.01 |
| 09-15 15:32 | Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing? | BUY | 0.9969999993 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 15:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | SELL | 0.986 | $1.54 |
| 09-15 09:20 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.46 |
| 09-15 06:47 | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $1.50 |
| 09-14 23:51 | Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.50 |
| 09-14 23:28 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.57 |