0xe5ec24f47414c848fe9ecb3cbc65c114e7575c81
0xe5ec24f47414c848fe9ecb3cbc65c114e7575c81
- Realised P&L
- $-31.21
- Volume
- $78.0k
- Markets traded
- 504
- Open portfolio
- $112.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded504
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.39at 0.270US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$37.10at 0.077Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
- +$29.61at 0.400Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$26.66at 0.561Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$13.78at 0.357Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 14:50 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.50 |
| 10-16 14:42 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.72 |
| 10-15 12:41 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.930999982 | $1.50 |
| 10-15 10:45 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.48 |
| 10-15 10:34 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.9199998773 | $1.50 |
| 10-15 10:34 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.47 |
| 10-15 06:15 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.9299995536 | $1.50 |
| 10-15 05:15 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | SELL | 0.957 | $1.59 |
| 10-14 22:10 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.50 |
| 10-14 21:04 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.50 |
| 10-14 20:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.60 |
| 10-12 21:12 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.50 |
| 10-12 21:10 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BUY | 0.2719999942 | $1.50 |
| 10-12 21:07 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.07 |
| 10-12 01:55 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5829270008 | $1.50 |