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Traders

0xe5ec24f47414c848fe9ecb3cbc65c114e7575c81

Realised P&L
$-35.91
Volume
$77.7k
Markets traded
478
Open portfolio
$117.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded478
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.9910.989$8.98$0.02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.775$8.72$0.28
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? · Yes0.2020.085$8.19$11.31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1280.077$5.43$3.57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.3250.175$4.85$4.15
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? · No0.6300.989$4.71+$1.71
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9770.982$4.52+$0.02
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.9270.920$4.47$0.03
NATO dissolves before 2027? · No0.9400.986$3.47+$0.16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.8700.977$3.37+$0.37
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.8900.950$3.20+$0.20
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9090.953$3.14+$0.14
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · No0.8600.895$3.12+$0.12
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9780.981$3.10+$0.01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.9500.945$2.98$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:31Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.9299995536$1.50
09-16 19:04Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.93$1.49
09-16 11:25Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.93$1.50
09-16 11:17Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?SELL0.966$1.53
09-15 21:46Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028?BUY0.8499999433$1.50
09-15 21:46Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.3099999793$1.50
09-15 21:39Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.93$1.50
09-15 20:57Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028?BUY0.8199996829$1.50
09-15 18:43Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing?SELL0.999$3.01
09-15 15:32Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing?BUY0.9969999993$1.50
09-15 15:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?SELL0.986$1.54
09-15 09:20Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$1.46
09-15 06:47Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999795$1.50
09-14 23:51Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing?BUY0.99$1.50
09-14 23:28NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.22$1.57
Trader 0xe5ec…5c81 · PolyBot Pro