CALEF-V
0xe5d2ef10dd50b55b8daf7d0f5784caa759320c2a
- Realised P&L
- $7.07
- Volume
- $148.73
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $6.15
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.04at 0.169Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.56at 0.180Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$3.55at 0.220Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.33at 0.300Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?
- +$2.09at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 00:25 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.378 | $0.90 |
| 10-28 00:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 00:06 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 23:57 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4189999728 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 02:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 02:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 12:17 | Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 02:35 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.6559998793 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 11:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 10:57 | Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.58 |
| 08-02 18:16 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.96 |
| 08-02 18:15 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 18:04 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 18:00 | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.05 |
| 07-29 20:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |