PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Loser.Boy

0xe5c66c8a7da87393372cb801d004b94dea78c89a

Realised P&L
$-3.9k
Volume
$433.2k
Markets traded
508
Open portfolio
$12.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded508
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0740.070$4.70−$0.30
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31? · Yes0.0700.080$4.00+$0.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.004$1.20−$0.30
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0100.009$0.90−$0.10
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? · Yes0.3900.245$0.70−$0.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 05:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY0.7599999778$4.10
10-11 04:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSELL0.47$4.37
10-11 04:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETBUY0.4199999914$3.91
10-11 04:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETSELL0.94$4.13
10-11 04:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETBUY0.92$4.04
10-10 18:37Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?BUY0.3899999789$1.11
10-10 18:36Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.004$1.20
10-10 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.6099999748$1.94
10-10 17:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-10 17:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
10-10 17:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSELL0.35$8.68
10-10 17:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.2099999984$5.21
10-10 17:39Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$3.00
10-10 17:38Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1$1.00
10-10 17:372026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.01$1.00