Loser.Boy
0xe5c66c8a7da87393372cb801d004b94dea78c89a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $433.2k
- Markets traded
- 508
- Open portfolio
- $12.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded508
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.070 | $4.70 | −$0.30 |
| US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.080 | $4.00 | +$0.50 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $1.20 | −$0.30 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes | 0.010 | 0.009 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.245 | $0.70 | −$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.53at 0.439Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
- +$154.85at 0.295Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$88.92at 0.264Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$57.04at 0.347Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7AM ET
- +$56.21at 0.726Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999778 | $4.10 |
| 10-11 04:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $4.37 |
| 10-11 04:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999914 | $3.91 |
| 10-11 04:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $4.13 |
| 10-11 04:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $4.04 |
| 10-10 18:37 | Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? | BUY | 0.3899999789 | $1.11 |
| 10-10 18:36 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.20 |
| 10-10 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999748 | $1.94 |
| 10-10 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 17:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $8.68 |
| 10-10 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999984 | $5.21 |
| 10-10 17:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 17:38 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:37 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |