lina1iq
0xe5a750d09985682b157470b9d9df1d1bbd4ce65b
- Realised P&L
- $-49.94
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $120.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.318 | 0.260 | $75.14 | −$16.79 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.540 | 0.645 | $25.80 | +$4.20 |
| Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 15, 2026? · No | 0.520 | 0.635 | $9.53 | +$1.73 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.540 | 0.465 | $4.18 | −$0.68 |
| Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.130 | $2.59 | −$3.41 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.312 | 0.085 | $2.12 | −$5.66 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $1.21 | −$0.06 |
| Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.011 | $0.21 | −$0.61 |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? · Yes | 0.699 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.98 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.22at 0.335Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$11.50at 0.779Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
- +$5.60at 0.620Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?
- +$1.70at 0.887Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
- +$1.53at 0.970Will United Russia win the next Leningrad Oblast Parliament elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 23:35 | Tusk out by December 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 10-31 11:07 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $21.30 |
| 10-30 21:59 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 10-29 15:45 | Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $7.80 |
| 10-29 15:40 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 10-29 15:38 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.54 | $21.60 |
| 10-28 12:43 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 10-27 16:08 | Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-26 17:33 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 10-26 13:49 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 10-26 13:46 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 10-21 16:41 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.43 |
| 10-21 11:59 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.31 | $12.40 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.27 |
| 09-24 12:02 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.79 |