0xE5a69406506391b791C555090Ea4dBb420ABB2a0-1718840204073
0xe5a69406506391b791c555090ea4dbb420abb2a0
- Realised P&L
- $-588.19
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $14.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.22at 0.604Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$85.91at 0.910US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$84.95at 0.599US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$30.59at 0.876US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
- +$18.87at 0.346Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 05:58 | Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.289999997 | $18.09 |
| 10-16 05:56 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.012 | $10.22 |
| 10-16 05:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $9.41 |
| 09-02 04:59 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 23:57 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.24 | $68.67 |
| 07-19 18:17 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.72 |
| 07-19 18:16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5919998996 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 03:48 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5779999533 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 20:53 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.85 | $13.69 |
| 07-15 19:35 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.26749996 | $3.48 |
| 07-14 21:33 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 21:32 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3224998017 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 21:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 07-14 12:25 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1749999147 | $1.59 |
| 07-14 04:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |