PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE5a69406506391b791C555090Ea4dBb420ABB2a0-1718840204073

0xe5a69406506391b791c555090ea4dbb420abb2a0

Realised P&L
$-588.19
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$14.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.2900.230$14.35−$3.74
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.1000.040$0.11−$0.17
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$10.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5780.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.4930.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.1210.000$0.00−$191.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$4.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 05:58Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.289999997$18.09
10-16 05:56Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.012$10.22
10-16 05:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$9.41
09-02 04:59Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
07-30 23:57Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.24$68.67
07-19 18:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.41$3.72
07-19 18:16Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5919998996$5.00
07-18 03:48Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5779999533$5.00
07-15 20:53Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.85$13.69
07-15 19:35Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.26749996$3.48
07-14 21:33Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.6699999196$2.00
07-14 21:32Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3224998017$1.00
07-14 21:29Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.35$7.00
07-14 12:25Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1749999147$1.59
07-14 04:02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$10.00