barcodesellout
0xe5a35b635142e3bbfd3d5e3f70d01be53c3944ed
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $697.6k
- Markets traded
- 352
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded352
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.893 | 0.935 | $1.1k | +$50.69 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.419 | 0.545 | $336.26 | +$77.77 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.935 | $327.25 | +$1.75 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.634 | 0.455 | $105.10 | −$41.35 |
| Will Trump deport 400-500k people? · No | 0.812 | 0.355 | $46.64 | −$60.03 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.920 | $46.02 | +$3.02 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.885 | $35.40 | +$5.80 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · No | 0.630 | 0.825 | $14.27 | +$3.37 |
| Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.038 | $2.31 | −$5.07 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$185.85 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$914.05at 0.678Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
- +$806.50at 0.766LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
- +$594.54at 0.217Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$328.41at 0.915LoL: Gen.G vs DRX - Game 2 Winner
- +$314.57at 0.929LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 22:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $325.50 |
| 09-13 17:35 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $114.00 |
| 09-08 18:30 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $172.00 |
| 09-06 10:44 | LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.98 | $980.00 |
| 08-25 08:04 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.88 | $494.97 |
| 08-18 23:23 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | SELL | 0.2 | $48.00 |
| 08-18 17:47 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.54 | $64.80 |
| 08-18 17:44 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.54 | $64.80 |
| 08-08 06:13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 08-08 03:58 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 07-29 06:08 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 07-29 06:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.662 | $99.30 |
| 07-22 20:02 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $637.00 |
| 07-15 17:21 | LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D | SELL | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 07-15 17:11 | LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |