0x614A6C9F6a41E52b0C3F3C52606eBA2291b86985-1764915481254
0xe5910a135169963ff59cb2c0c2ba5eb00fa0db4a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.39
- Volume
- $259.64
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $14.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.031 | $6.20 | −$2.80 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.986 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.275 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.983 | 1.000 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.305 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.149 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.816 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.40at 0.937Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-3.79at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 13:31 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8159999804 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 13:31 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 13:28 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 13:28 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 13:27 | Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0579999977 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 13:27 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1489999866 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 05:31 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 05:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9369998763 | $6.00 |
| 10-27 05:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $1.40 |
| 10-27 05:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 05:26 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | BUY | 0.045 | $9.00 |