PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe542c89e153eb16c360a119aa76448198225a794

Realised P&L
$-43.40
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$44.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6000.740$6.60+$1.25
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? · No0.8900.925$5.52+$0.21
Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026? · No0.9700.945$2.99$0.08
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · No0.9900.875$2.87$0.38
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? · No0.8300.855$2.82+$0.08
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? · No0.8200.921$2.68+$0.29
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · Yes0.4600.455$2.45$0.03
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026? · No0.9300.925$2.41$0.01
Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4400.450$2.15+$0.05
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · No0.6400.340$2.00$1.76
Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.8000.675$1.88$0.35
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%? · No0.8890.899$1.50+$0.02
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30? · Yes0.2900.345$1.37+$0.22
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.2980.163$1.30$1.08
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30? · Yes0.4220.521$1.24+$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 17:54Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?SELL0.67$3.18
09-08 17:54Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?SELL0.93$4.20
09-08 17:54Will the Dolphins win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.945$4.30
09-08 17:54Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?SELL0.94$4.63
09-08 17:53Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?SELL0.88$4.47
09-08 17:53Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.67$5.72
09-08 17:53Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?SELL0.688$6.26
09-08 17:53FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$7.89
09-08 17:52Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.7996398305$7.55
07-25 22:26Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?SELL0.88$5.09
07-25 22:26Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?SELL0.955$4.89
07-25 22:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.8$1.51
07-25 22:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.6699999614$1.39
07-25 22:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.6699999212$1.36
07-25 22:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.5999998992$1.19