0xe542c89e153eb16c360a119aa76448198225a794
- Realised P&L
- $-43.40
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $44.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.87at 0.179Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?
- +$3.75at 0.715Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$3.68at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$3.59at 0.683Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
- +$3.57at 0.672Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 17:54 | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.18 |
| 09-08 17:54 | Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.20 |
| 09-08 17:54 | Will the Dolphins win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.945 | $4.30 |
| 09-08 17:54 | Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.63 |
| 09-08 17:53 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $4.47 |
| 09-08 17:53 | Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.67 | $5.72 |
| 09-08 17:53 | Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | SELL | 0.688 | $6.26 |
| 09-08 17:53 | FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $7.89 |
| 09-08 17:52 | Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.7996398305 | $7.55 |
| 07-25 22:26 | Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.88 | $5.09 |
| 07-25 22:26 | Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.955 | $4.89 |
| 07-25 22:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.51 |
| 07-25 22:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999614 | $1.39 |
| 07-25 22:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999212 | $1.36 |
| 07-25 22:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5999998992 | $1.19 |