PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

exeloncorp

0xe4d92f879d3b55c26c1f672acedf8ab17a2c2a4e

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$190.4k
Markets traded
331
Open portfolio
$444.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded331
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.930$413.85+$53.40
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.135$19.30$29.32
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.200$4.40+$1.32
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.1200.565$2.26+$1.78
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? · No0.8400.877$1.75+$0.07
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.6400.822$1.64+$0.36
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.5300.285$1.14$0.98
Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00$0.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-11 18:33Mistral AI IPO before 2027?SELL0.84$45.36
04-11 18:32Mistral AI IPO before 2027?SELL0.84$242.76
04-10 15:11Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.81$360.45
04-10 15:00Mistral AI IPO before 2027?BUY0.86$294.98
04-09 22:58Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?SELL0.58$128.76
04-09 22:57Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?SELL0.58$142.10
04-09 22:56Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?SELL0.58$115.42
04-07 14:01Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?BUY0.84$559.44
03-31 01:51Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-11?SELL0.12$82.44
03-29 14:25Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-11?BUY0.7$480.90
03-25 16:32Will Trump post "Panican" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.42$42.42
03-23 23:06Will Trump post "Panican" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.71$71.71
03-22 17:53Will "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)BUY0.897$575.87
03-18 15:50Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18?SELL0.11$47.85
03-17 12:34Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18?BUY0.33$143.55