exeloncorp
0xe4d92f879d3b55c26c1f672acedf8ab17a2c2a4e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $190.4k
- Markets traded
- 331
- Open portfolio
- $444.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded331
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.930 | $413.85 | +$53.40 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.135 | $19.30 | −$29.32 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.200 | $4.40 | +$1.32 |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.565 | $2.26 | +$1.78 |
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.877 | $1.75 | +$0.07 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.822 | $1.64 | +$0.36 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.285 | $1.14 | −$0.98 |
| Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$383.35at 0.530Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
- +$206.80at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$155.10at 0.818Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$126.72at 0.220Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?
- +$125.58at 0.701Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 18:33 | Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $45.36 |
| 04-11 18:32 | Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $242.76 |
| 04-10 15:11 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $360.45 |
| 04-10 15:00 | Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $294.98 |
| 04-09 22:58 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $128.76 |
| 04-09 22:57 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $142.10 |
| 04-09 22:56 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $115.42 |
| 04-07 14:01 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $559.44 |
| 03-31 01:51 | Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-11? | SELL | 0.12 | $82.44 |
| 03-29 14:25 | Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-11? | BUY | 0.7 | $480.90 |
| 03-25 16:32 | Will Trump post "Panican" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.42 | $42.42 |
| 03-23 23:06 | Will Trump post "Panican" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.71 |
| 03-22 17:53 | Will "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.897 | $575.87 |
| 03-18 15:50 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18? | SELL | 0.11 | $47.85 |
| 03-17 12:34 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18? | BUY | 0.33 | $143.55 |