Ananasius
0xe4d698160145aefe3a7775c39576fb96d9e5745d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $117.6k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $252.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.14at 0.055Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
- +$76.15at 0.170Trump x Elon space tonight?
- +$45.00at 0.550Will Usyk beat Fury?
- +$40.78at 0.560Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
- +$27.05at 0.977Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 16:58 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | BUY | 0.67 | $26.80 |
| 03-21 16:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $7.34 |
| 03-18 10:46 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.41 |
| 03-18 10:45 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 03-16 13:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? | BUY | 0.022 | $5.50 |
| 03-16 13:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $33.60 |
| 03-16 13:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? | BUY | 0.022 | $7.70 |
| 03-16 13:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 03-16 13:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | BUY | 0.12 | $18.00 |
| 03-16 12:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 03-16 12:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.43 |
| 03-12 16:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $18.80 |
| 03-05 14:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | BUY | 0.25 | $29.70 |
| 03-05 11:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 03-05 11:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | BUY | 0.12 | $8.40 |