PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ananasius

0xe4d698160145aefe3a7775c39576fb96d9e5745d

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$117.6k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$252.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? · Yes0.6620.700$167.99+$9.20
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? · Yes0.4520.455$48.98+$0.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5710.075$15.14−$100.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6730.105$6.30−$34.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4640.050$4.95−$41.45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1530.021$4.09−$25.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3740.036$3.60−$33.80
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.022$0.88−$8.72
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1800.024$0.70−$4.70
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$2.38
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$2.20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? · Yes0.1930.000$0.00−$90.70
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$2.20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 16:58Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?BUY0.67$26.80
03-21 16:22Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.61$7.34
03-18 10:46Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.016$2.41
03-18 10:45Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.06$3.00
03-16 13:19Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?BUY0.022$5.50
03-16 13:07Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.56$33.60
03-16 13:02Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?BUY0.022$7.70
03-16 13:02Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?BUY0.05$20.00
03-16 13:02Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?BUY0.12$18.00
03-16 12:54Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.68$13.60
03-16 12:44Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.55$5.43
03-12 16:44Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.47$18.80
03-05 14:28Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?BUY0.25$29.70
03-05 11:29Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?BUY0.22$22.00
03-05 11:24Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?BUY0.12$8.40