PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe4d04da1781c49c2dbebdd91448f85e5915fa47d

Realised P&L
$-12.17
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
572
Open portfolio
$69.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded572
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? · No0.9990.999$5.23+$0.00
Will CPRF win the next Chechnya Parliament elections? · No0.9990.999$5.23$0.00
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? · No0.9950.994$5.22$0.01
Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections? · Yes0.9990.995$5.21$0.02
Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.9620.957$5.19$0.03
Will LDPR win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections? · No0.9990.991$5.19$0.04
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026? · No0.9910.979$5.16$0.06
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$4.94$0.08
Will Dignity Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9991.000$4.93+$0.00
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$4.89$0.13
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.964$4.84$0.18
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$4.82$0.20
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.890$4.47$0.55
Will Thomas Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.9990.985$2.20$0.03
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9980.308$1.55$3.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 07:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 3AM ETBUY0.9989998497$5.21
09-21 04:56BNB Up or Down - September 21, 12AM ETBUY0.999$5.22
09-21 03:57Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026?BUY0.9909999994$5.22
09-21 00:03Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.9619999985$5.22
09-20 19:59Will LDPR win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections?BUY0.999$5.23
09-20 19:57Will CPRF win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?BUY0.999$5.23
09-20 19:57Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?BUY0.999$5.23
09-20 11:57Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?BUY0.995$5.23
09-20 11:57Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?BUY0.999$5.23
09-20 06:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2AM ETBUY0.9809999977$5.22
09-20 05:59XRP Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ETBUY0.98$5.22
09-19 07:57XRP Up or Down - September 19, 3AM ETBUY0.999$5.23
09-18 07:56Solana Up or Down - September 18, 3AM ETBUY0.99$5.19
09-18 05:57Solana Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ETBUY0.99$5.18
09-17 23:57Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999998$5.18