DDD25
0xe4cf63c72a497c3c38860de1b9503f1fd717f9bc
- Realised P&L
- $-338.71
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $289.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.04at 0.546Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$61.53at 0.570Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$36.51at 0.657England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
- +$16.06at 0.528Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?
- +$15.21at 0.845Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:09 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by September 30? | BUY | 0.5599999496 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 23:23 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by September 30? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 18:38 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5829999545 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:31 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5479998553 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 09:21 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 09:19 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5499998734 | $1.52 |
| 09-06 12:08 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.7379999972 | $62.29 |
| 09-05 23:29 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.6049999156 | $1.90 |
| 09-04 10:12 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1589999367 | $1.90 |
| 08-04 06:42 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5439999991 | $4.84 |
| 08-04 06:22 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5439999921 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 06:22 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.543999839 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:47 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5439999596 | $4.85 |
| 08-04 03:40 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 03:27 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5439999782 | $5.00 |