PolyBot

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Traders

Stephanberger4

0xe4c9872792a26e308d9b7df05a465517f20c07fa

Realised P&L
$-1.04
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$35.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Macron out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.020$26.32−$23.68
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.355$6.34+$1.34
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0080.006$0.81−$0.19
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75−$0.25
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0640.040$0.63−$0.37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.0900.055$0.61−$0.39
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0210.007$0.36−$0.64
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0090.001$0.05−$0.95
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? · No0.0480.000$0.00−$1.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 02:25Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.038$50.00
10-27 08:57Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2799999978$5.00
10-12 09:10Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?BUY0.064$1.00
10-12 09:09Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?BUY0.0477516904$1.00
10-12 09:082026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-12 09:05Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.008$1.00
10-12 09:00Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0095310713$1.00
10-12 08:59Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.002$1.00
10-12 08:56Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0209999998$1.00