PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xe4a24d60f5733d5a6a3bd10597d9d67328b74763

Realised P&L
$767.08
Volume
$57.4k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7850.835$1.5k+$88.28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8900.895$687.82+$3.84
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3830.406$378.24+$20.99
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.6990.961$231.56+$63.10
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.9200.925$194.25+$1.05
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8850.865$172.99$4.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2500.165$138.60$71.40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1740.080$88.01$105.11
Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? · Yes0.9000.905$24.31+$0.13
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9350.955$22.59+$0.47
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.4100.100$9.06$28.10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3500.305$0.93$0.14
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5060.007$0.49$34.91
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.3670.001$0.11$82.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:16Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?BUY0.9$24.18
09-16 23:22Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.92$193.20
09-15 05:23Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.346$4.23
09-15 05:22Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.347$8.26
09-10 18:35Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.34$48.04
09-09 18:59LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.992649343$354.08
08-23 23:432026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.8899999999$683.98
08-21 17:28Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?BUY0.9816879429$452.32
08-21 03:48Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.8$85.52
08-21 03:45Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.7899999987$76.45
08-21 03:44Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.7903758515$867.93
08-19 00:28Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.999$1.0k
08-18 21:09Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.998$5.58
08-18 01:08Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.769999998$248.51
08-18 01:08Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.7699999987$120.92