porkypus
0xe487b3ea9c28139a106e7e7c894c7f648bab7fdb
- Realised P&L
- $-788.90
- Volume
- $68.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,649
- Open portfolio
- $133.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,649
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.00at 0.240Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$63.35at 0.256US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
- +$57.99at 0.210Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
- +$57.94at 0.137GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
- +$47.74at 0.271Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 16:53 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1085657367 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 14:30 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.08 |
| 10-09 14:30 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in October? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-09 14:30 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in October? | BUY | 0.76 | $4.56 |
| 10-09 14:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.72 | $4.32 |
| 10-09 14:30 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in October? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.90 |
| 10-09 14:30 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 in October? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 10-09 14:30 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 in October? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-09 14:30 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in October? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.86 |
| 10-08 14:30 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 10-08 14:30 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in October? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.97 |
| 10-08 14:30 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.73 | $4.38 |
| 10-08 14:30 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 in October? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-08 14:30 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 in October? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-08 14:30 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in October? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.80 |