PolyBot

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Traders

family-fund

0xe48777406378419188c3eb4e02962b7415a1384e

Realised P&L
$-250.66
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.9610.959$838.17−$1.95
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6700.665$119.69−$0.90
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3000.305$87.59+$1.44
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5620.554$66.54−$0.90
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.5500.575$45.99+$2.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7100.705$43.21−$0.31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5940.603$31.90+$0.45
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? · No0.0000.812$28.42+$28.42
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9300.915$9.86−$0.16
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? · Yes0.3300.365$9.73+$0.93
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? · No0.0710.062$9.02−$1.31
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7300.745$8.94+$0.18
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0800.085$4.18+$0.25
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3100.255$2.70−$0.58
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.005$1.06−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 22:27Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?BUY0.48$2.73
09-24 22:27Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?BUY0.49$7.40
09-24 22:01Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?BUY0.49$3.76
09-24 21:24Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$86.16
09-24 18:33Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.3$52.61
09-24 18:33Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.3$99.97
09-24 16:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.562$67.44
09-24 14:56Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.73$8.76
09-24 13:10Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.86$8.90
09-24 11:08Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.77$15.20
09-24 11:05Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.48$9.60
09-23 12:55Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.55$43.99
09-23 10:53Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.594$31.45
09-22 15:55Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.93$10.03
09-22 12:55Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?BUY0.08$3.94
Trader family-fund · PolyBot Pro