family-fund
0xe48777406378419188c3eb4e02962b7415a1384e
- Realised P&L
- $-250.66
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.40at 0.777Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$1.40at 0.865Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$0.62at 0.288Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
- +$-0.20at 0.490Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$-1.15at 0.230Will Wieczysta Krakow win on 2026-09-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 22:27 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.73 |
| 09-24 22:27 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.49 | $7.40 |
| 09-24 22:01 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.76 |
| 09-24 21:24 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $86.16 |
| 09-24 18:33 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $52.61 |
| 09-24 18:33 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $99.97 |
| 09-24 16:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.562 | $67.44 |
| 09-24 14:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.73 | $8.76 |
| 09-24 13:10 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.90 |
| 09-24 11:08 | Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.20 |
| 09-24 11:05 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-23 12:55 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.55 | $43.99 |
| 09-23 10:53 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.594 | $31.45 |
| 09-22 15:55 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $10.03 |
| 09-22 12:55 | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.94 |