PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lavendertown

0xe47c77125edfc41d1a80261736b9abbcfd57642a

Realised P&L
$-29.9k
Volume
$3.08M
Markets traded
1,233
Open portfolio
$733.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,233
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1940.039$307.34$1.2k
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1130.025$176.05$632.60
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3420.036$90.04$765.60
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.5000.935$71.68+$33.31
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5290.045$54.55$580.39
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.580$8.66$1.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3980.065$8.17$41.83
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9930.992$4.99$0.01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.5000.065$3.25$21.75
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1500.090$3.00$2.00
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.9090.105$2.89$22.11
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.6050.042$2.06$27.94
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? · Yes0.2900.260$0.90$0.10
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.001$0.20$1.80
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0510.009$0.19$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 09:22Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.039$97.54
09-07 09:22Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.999$5.02
09-07 09:21Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.993$4.99
09-07 09:21Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.41$4.76
09-07 09:21ByteDance IPO before 2027?SELL0.95$4.94
09-07 09:20Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.99$4.99
09-07 09:20Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.975$7.90
09-07 09:20Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.999$5.02
09-07 09:20Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.998$5.02
09-07 09:20Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.998$5.02
09-07 09:19Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.999$5.02
09-07 09:19Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.998$5.02
09-07 09:19Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.999$5.02
09-07 09:19Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?SELL0.941$5.82
09-07 09:19Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.999$5.02