WhatTheHelly
0xe471565da86af7b6e99d9c955b0b35d1f0e0c87c
- Realised P&L
- $24.9k
- Volume
- $2.31M
- Markets traded
- 1,180
- Open portfolio
- $8.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,180
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.150US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.337US military action against Iran before July?
- +$3.1kat 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$3.0kat 0.155US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.213Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:36 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 10-05 20:18 | Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.33 | $34.81 |
| 10-05 19:21 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Belgium? | BUY | 0.032 | $43.68 |
| 10-05 19:21 | Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Belgium? | BUY | 0.08 | $104.00 |
| 10-04 19:04 | Will Israel win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.23 | $46.41 |
| 10-04 14:32 | Exact Score: Republic of Ireland 1 - 3 Israel? | BUY | 0.024 | $11.70 |
| 10-03 20:39 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Czechia? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 10-03 20:00 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Czechia? | BUY | 0.08 | $105.60 |
| 10-03 18:12 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Czechia? | BUY | 0.08 | $56.00 |
| 10-01 20:30 | Will Israel win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.13 | $91.00 |
| 10-01 20:03 | Will Israel win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.2535 | $101.40 |
| 10-01 18:42 | Exact Score: Israel 3 - 1 Kosovo? | BUY | 0.0359268154 | $29.17 |
| 10-01 17:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $550.00 |
| 10-01 17:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.21 | $25.40 |
| 09-29 18:21 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Croatia? | BUY | 0.09 | $157.50 |