PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WhatTheHelly

0xe471565da86af7b6e99d9c955b0b35d1f0e0c87c

Realised P&L
$24.9k
Volume
$2.31M
Markets traded
1,180
Open portfolio
$8.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,180
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3200.355$2.0k+$203.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2040.155$1.6k−$491.99
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2570.432$1.5k+$592.19
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yes0.2180.534$1.1k+$644.25
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1200.215$752.50+$332.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2000.165$453.75−$96.25
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? · Yes0.5000.799$364.43+$136.52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · No0.2100.125$302.50−$205.70
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.0000.119$184.27+$184.27
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0900.069$150.70−$47.27
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Belgium? · Yes0.0320.001$1.00−$63.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Belgium? · Yes0.0800.001$0.65−$103.35
Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.001$0.50−$329.50
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 · Over0.4700.000$0.00−$18.80
Colombia leading at halftime? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$108.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 20:36Will France win on 2026-10-05?SELL0.999$1.5k
10-05 20:18Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.33$34.81
10-05 19:21Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Belgium?BUY0.032$43.68
10-05 19:21Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Belgium?BUY0.08$104.00
10-04 19:04Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.23$46.41
10-04 14:32Exact Score: Republic of Ireland 1 - 3 Israel?BUY0.024$11.70
10-03 20:39Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Czechia?SELL0.999$1.0k
10-03 20:00Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Czechia?BUY0.08$105.60
10-03 18:12Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Czechia?BUY0.08$56.00
10-01 20:30Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.13$91.00
10-01 20:03Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.2535$101.40
10-01 18:42Exact Score: Israel 3 - 1 Kosovo?BUY0.0359268154$29.17
10-01 17:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.2$550.00
10-01 17:16US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.21$25.40
09-29 18:21Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Croatia?BUY0.09$157.50