PolyBot

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Traders

SubZero2026

0xe45c4091681d9a87888eec8c7052bc6dfba2a222

Realised P&L
$-261.45
Volume
$10.7k
Markets traded
349
Open portfolio
$77.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded349
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.1490.490$32.83+$22.83
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $3,0000.5700.640$11.23+$1.23
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1000.135$6.75+$1.75
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2600.075$5.77−$14.23
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.004$5.66−$44.34
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1700.115$3.38−$1.62
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1050.018$3.33−$16.67
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2400.077$3.23−$6.77
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes0.0220.049$2.18+$1.18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.029$1.50−$8.50
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.035$1.18−$4.29
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.019$0.36−$4.64
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0430.001$0.12−$9.88
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Down0.3350.000$0.00−$1.00
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.2420.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 14:41Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
10-28 08:35Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-28 08:35Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-28 08:35Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-28 08:34Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana ShnaiderBUY0.183999998$3.00
10-26 07:20Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 28?BUY0.4299999991$5.00
10-26 07:13Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 28?BUY0.1714285518$1.00
10-23 15:42Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 25?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-20 11:08Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 21?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-20 11:07Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 22, 2026?BUY0.0196910475$1.00
10-20 11:07Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 21, 2026?BUY0.0269999993$1.00
10-14 05:56Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 16?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-14 05:56Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
10-12 07:30Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-12 07:30Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.2699999784$1.00