PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xE42b5f3C8EC8DC615cA8A073186D27B3934b8444-1768006366972

0xe42b5f3c8ec8dc615ca8a073186d27b3934b8444

Realised P&L
$-11.3k
Volume
$235.3k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.1650.055$3.9k$7.9k
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$2.0k
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? · No0.5510.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$999.99
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$7.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 13:57Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.1371146105$7.2k
05-04 13:57Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.1799999997$565.35
04-05 22:12Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.0720643935$788.01
04-05 21:45Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.07$466.90
03-30 08:29Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?BUY0.551050065$1000.00
03-27 22:44Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.2592453617$4.0k
03-27 22:44Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.128524207$4.0k
03-27 22:44Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.0485136406$1000.00
03-20 07:51Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.1731200865$2.0k
03-01 08:27Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.998$12.8k
02-28 08:10Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.0718096993$1.6k
02-26 17:19Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.1799999999$2.3k
01-23 18:55Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1899999999$2.0k
01-23 18:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1899999975$50.00
01-23 18:34Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1899999994$200.00