RRR27
0xe42891a34381576f42e13a24be3075919edda0e8
- Realised P&L
- $-129.48
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $76.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.080 | $56.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.018 | $20.56 | +$0.56 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Up | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.00 |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.63at 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$117.50at 0.100Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- +$45.88at 0.472Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$38.99at 0.844Will 3+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.44at 0.726Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 18:55 | Is Earth flat? | SELL | 0.0061 | $6.10 |
| 08-07 06:06 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | SELL | 0.3980797286 | $23.47 |
| 07-31 06:37 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 06:37 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 09:01 | Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 08:58 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | SELL | 0.7077502545 | $41.71 |
| 07-29 04:05 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.7633737183 | $90.00 |
| 07-29 04:03 | Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31? | BUY | 0.1759259008 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 04:27 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $80.00 |
| 07-16 06:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5799999991 | $200.00 |
| 07-14 05:26 | Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.4599999977 | $40.00 |
| 07-14 05:25 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 05:17 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974999978 | $100.00 |
| 07-02 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2? | SELL | 0.996 | $6.72 |
| 07-02 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |