PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

maye2

0xe423f6ee6cd16e715fcca7d8ed0ffdf79ed02492

Realised P&L
$5.4k
Volume
$93.9k
Markets traded
321
Open portfolio
$96.78

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded321
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series? · No0.7500.550$33.00$11.98
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.6900.545$27.25$7.25
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2980.295$21.46$0.22
Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · No0.3500.155$9.30$11.70
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7800.805$3.04+$0.09
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes0.2300.545$2.73+$1.57
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$14.50
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$2.85
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$2.05
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? · No0.4000.000$0.00$8.00
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$0.62
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 2, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$0.26
Israel closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$33.50
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m? · No0.0200.000$0.00$0.47
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 08:38Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2BUY0.75$15.00
05-30 08:12Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?BUY0.962$4.81
05-13 09:12Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?SELL0.49$49.00
05-12 12:39Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.402$31.43
04-25 11:41Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.91$45.50
04-09 05:11Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.78$234.00
04-07 11:39Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?BUY0.64$8.04
04-03 14:58Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.641$64.10
04-01 14:04Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?SELL0.56$11.20
04-01 14:03Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?SELL0.77$15.40
04-01 14:01Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?SELL0.056$22.40
04-01 11:32Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.53$30.07
04-01 11:31Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?SELL0.76$75.76
03-25 11:39Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?SELL0.4162503199$32.53
03-25 11:39Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.2692576333$80.78