Jcagro
0xe414171313a5292bb740d2de5a5f498d7c99d22b
- Realised P&L
- $14.25
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $221.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.745 | $153.38 | +$13.38 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.715 | $62.96 | +$3.96 |
| Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.535 | $5.35 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.75at 0.210Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$5.50at 0.471Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 00:17 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.67 | $59.00 |
| 10-27 20:15 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.521 | $57.31 |
| 10-27 18:48 | Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 10-26 23:13 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999998 | $140.00 |
| 10-25 22:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.6057343333 | $145.38 |
| 10-25 05:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.21 | $50.40 |
| 10-06 02:10 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.471 | $51.81 |
| 10-04 23:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.15 | $57.66 |
| 10-04 04:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.36 | $138.38 |