PolyBot

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Traders

Guderianlee

0xe4046da2098aaa162ceedfe5835640546cad10a4

Realised P&L
$-28.98
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$311.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.8100.805$70.01−$0.43
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.7600.650$59.87−$10.13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8400.925$59.45+$5.46
Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election? · Yes0.7600.780$51.32+$1.32
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes0.2770.336$36.34+$6.34
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.3100.295$28.55−$1.45
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1400.045$4.50−$9.50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1110.029$1.57−$4.43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.4150.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? · No0.0500.000$0.00−$5.50
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$4.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 03:23Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.8099999997$70.44
09-26 03:22Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.7599999987$70.00
09-26 03:22Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?BUY0.7599999964$50.00
09-26 03:21Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?BUY0.2769999977$30.00
09-26 03:17Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.3099999986$30.00
09-20 16:00Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8999999965$130.00
06-15 10:11Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6814159156$20.00
06-15 10:05Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6$30.00
06-15 10:04Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.994$57.81
05-11 01:51Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
04-14 01:20Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.002$0.14
04-12 05:48Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.239999953$3.47
04-08 00:10Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6899999995$15.00
04-08 00:01US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?SELL0.993$18.44
04-07 23:52US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.0179999903$1.81