PolyBot

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Traders

Donaldkeifff

0xe3d8428b9e2a350985c18d533f94bb8521c2b43a

Realised P&L
$53.86
Volume
$8.0k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 15? · Yes0.0340.003$0.37$4.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on September 15? · Yes0.0100.001$0.25$4.75
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15? · Yes0.0900.002$0.08$4.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up0.1160.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Up0.0790.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Down0.0490.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 20:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.1158301155$25.00
09-15 20:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.0492125984$5.00
09-15 20:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.0479999998$5.00
09-15 20:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.02$5.00
09-15 20:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.1946585689$25.00
09-15 20:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.1700680272$25.00
09-15 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.5599999987$100.00
09-15 19:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
09-15 19:51Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-15 19:50Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on September 15?BUY0.0101851852$5.00
09-15 19:49Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 15?BUY0.0339999999$5.00
09-15 19:46Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.002$1.00
09-15 19:36Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.06$156.37
09-15 18:59Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.05$1.06
09-15 18:46Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.07$128.63