Donaldkeifff
0xe3d8428b9e2a350985c18d533f94bb8521c2b43a
- Realised P&L
- $53.86
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 15? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.003 | $0.37 | −$4.63 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on September 15? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$4.75 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.002 | $0.08 | −$4.92 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Up | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Down | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.55at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$75.49at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$-76.87at 0.087Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1158301155 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0492125984 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0479999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 20:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 20:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1946585689 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1700680272 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999987 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 19:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 19:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.0101851852 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 19:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.0339999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 19:46 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 19:36 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $156.37 |
| 09-15 18:59 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.06 |
| 09-15 18:46 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $128.63 |