PolyBot

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Traders

BabyKangroo

0xe3ae7670827d2100beee9223a9a38dd16bfa440e

Realised P&L
$64.5k
Volume
$2.48M
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$61.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.6610.961$31.9k+$10.0k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8300.945$21.7k+$2.6k
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0210.034$6.2k+$2.3k
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.024$1.3k+$581.16
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.025$229.50+$24.54
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0560.064$114.30+$12.60
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.004$25.93$48.97
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.6000.000$0.00$9.0k
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No0.5300.000$0.00$401.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · No0.8400.000$0.00$2.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-09 22:01Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.939$3.8k
03-09 22:00Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.939$11.3k
03-07 12:28Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?SELL0.99$50.00
03-06 21:20US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL0.999$8.2k
03-04 13:39Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.999$964.61
03-04 13:08Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.999$399.60
02-28 18:55Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.37$496.57
02-28 18:19Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.39$605.09
02-28 18:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?SELL0.999$11.4k
02-28 16:53Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.37865382$378.65
02-28 16:48Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.437$2.1k
02-28 08:12Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.9686170196$1.3k
02-18 21:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.6$9.0k
02-13 15:55Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.911817375$729.45
02-06 20:51Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.013$115.34