wanderingarch
0xe3701d963de4a74b1e062d5f04296115c766e03a
- Realised P&L
- $-15.60
- Volume
- $841.55
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $175.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.525 | 0.499 | $95.05 | −$4.95 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.585 | $14.39 | −$0.61 |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.981 | $14.01 | +$9.01 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? · No | 0.073 | 0.888 | $12.21 | +$11.21 |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? · Bibi | 0.620 | 0.495 | $11.98 | −$3.02 |
| Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.845 | $11.90 | +$1.90 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.760 | 0.790 | $10.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.285 | $5.48 | −$4.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.35at 0.011XRP Up or Down - October 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$-10.26at 0.369Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 20:29 | Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 20:24 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |
| 10-16 20:22 | Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 20:13 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0727272727 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 20:08 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 20:06 | Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 20:02 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5249999986 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 20:00 | XRP Up or Down - October 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 19:59 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 19:52 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $15.00 |