PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wanderingarch

0xe3701d963de4a74b1e062d5f04296115c766e03a

Realised P&L
$-15.60
Volume
$841.55
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$175.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5250.499$95.05−$4.95
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6100.585$14.39−$0.61
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026? · Yes0.3500.981$14.01+$9.01
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? · No0.0730.888$12.21+$11.21
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? · Bibi0.6200.495$11.98−$3.02
Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.7100.845$11.90+$1.90
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? · No0.7600.790$10.39+$0.39
Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.5200.285$5.48−$4.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 20:29Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.3599999971$10.00
10-16 20:24Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?BUY0.6199999942$15.00
10-16 20:22Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.5199999792$10.00
10-16 20:13Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?BUY0.0727272727$1.00
10-16 20:08Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7599999848$10.00
10-16 20:06Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
10-16 20:02Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5249999986$100.00
10-16 20:00XRP Up or Down - October 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
10-16 19:59Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
10-16 19:52Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.6099999984$15.00