PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe344ae83b761e2396fdc5bb1a78f3cd87b13232c

Realised P&L
$0.18
Volume
$85.81
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$18.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.4500.915$16.29+$8.28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes0.5600.555$2.47$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 10:54Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.559999946$2.49
09-13 04:36Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.5299999137$2.21
08-29 08:31Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.7099999944$2.54
08-02 02:50Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4$2.62
08-01 06:13Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.22$2.75
07-31 10:11Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-30 20:28Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.5199998953$1.59
07-30 10:29New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-24 00:45Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?BUY0.2789999162$1.89
07-23 12:45Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
07-22 00:40Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?BUY0.41$3.28
07-21 12:40Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.45$8.01
07-21 00:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.8199999045$4.98
07-20 12:40Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?BUY0.7349999186$1.85