PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Ksong

0xe3233e46461383f2ee13e2090c87f6921953af14

Realised P&L
$-72.07
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$126.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8330.933$64.53+$6.95
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · No0.7400.850$45.25+$5.86
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.300$6.00+$0.20
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.3600.285$5.70$1.50
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1500.170$5.27+$0.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 06:44Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.0377139299$11.36
07-15 06:44Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?SELL0.0442749411$5.64
05-31 20:47Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUY0.7399999955$39.39
05-27 18:57Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.8144816182$50.73
05-27 18:53Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.887$3.55
05-27 03:06Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.7937865169$7.06
05-27 03:03Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.8328902793$68.32
05-23 17:24Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2299999946$25.52
05-22 19:38Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?SELL0.11$0.55
05-21 18:43Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.701$14.02
05-20 19:15Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.23$0.76
05-20 19:12Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.24$33.27
05-20 17:25Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.71$12.78
05-20 04:26Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.71$2.84
05-16 03:37Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?SELL0.05$5.44