PolyBot

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Traders

blacksilver

0xe312a0d49a3e707a17db4d3880bc9578e3844a76

Realised P&L
$-6.3k
Volume
$75.1k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes0.2590.305$603.01+$90.01
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · No0.4630.635$498.90+$134.90
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · Yes0.4520.600$100.82+$24.82
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.4030.013$60.25$1.7k
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · No0.2900.300$31.03+$1.03
Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1020.005$1.47$28.43
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? · Yes0.3860.000$0.00$1000.00
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$149.88
Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2025 French Open? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$60.48
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$210.59
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$200.00
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$200.00
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00$402.32
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$2.1k
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$1.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 17:35Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.11283284$27.00
09-20 17:35Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1127339425$122.88
09-20 17:12Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.4336785278$1000.00
09-20 17:06Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.03529994$1.77
09-20 17:04Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?BUY0.1099999991$11.67
09-20 17:01Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?BUY0.09$1.80
09-20 16:55Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?BUY0.0976231505$16.43
09-20 16:50Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.3890770811$500.00
09-20 16:09Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.3421237525$287.96
09-12 03:11Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.4383702471$346.01
09-11 15:55Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?BUY0.2899999996$30.00
09-11 15:55Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?BUY0.2594746772$513.00
09-11 15:48Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?BUY0.4522841474$76.00
09-11 15:46Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?BUY0.4632987172$364.00
06-16 19:24Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.1994991694$402.32