PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mysterystrangr

0xe30bfb6336b72ec888b077d7daa9b2a546a498cc

Realised P&L
$-74.73
Volume
$15.5k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$339.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.4050.315$80.67$22.96
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.029$69.45+$29.13
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · Yes0.2630.225$41.10$6.95
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes0.0420.034$36.07$8.82
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1100.065$32.50$22.50
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? · Yes0.0570.134$28.22+$16.24
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0360.013$22.47$37.44
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.9070.989$19.85+$1.65
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0630.040$7.90$4.70
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0380.011$1.10$2.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 10:17Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?BUY0.0309842907$15.74
08-01 04:20Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.4$32.78
07-31 09:49Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.31$19.13
07-29 11:26Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?SELL0.07$3.61
07-25 03:43Christopher Luxon out by September 30?BUY0.2420282856$14.03
07-25 03:37Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.46$28.21
07-24 20:22Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.46$23.51
07-23 06:17Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.04$16.42
07-21 07:10Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?BUY0.0547587253$2.17
07-21 07:05Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?SELL0.1651568133$17.04
07-19 05:30Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?BUY0.0288305085$4.25
07-18 04:19Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.11$11.00
07-16 09:15Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.037$10.08
07-16 09:14Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0369326955$7.68
07-16 08:43Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?BUY0.0536382536$6.19