mysterystrangr
0xe30bfb6336b72ec888b077d7daa9b2a546a498cc
- Realised P&L
- $-74.73
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $339.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes | 0.405 | 0.315 | $80.67 | −$22.96 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.029 | $69.45 | +$29.13 |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · Yes | 0.263 | 0.225 | $41.10 | −$6.95 |
| Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.034 | $36.07 | −$8.82 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.065 | $32.50 | −$22.50 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.134 | $28.22 | +$16.24 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.013 | $22.47 | −$37.44 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.907 | 0.989 | $19.85 | +$1.65 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.040 | $7.90 | −$4.70 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.011 | $1.10 | −$2.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.68at 0.344Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
- +$34.49at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$21.69at 0.045Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
- +$20.64at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
- +$17.66at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:17 | Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.0309842907 | $15.74 |
| 08-01 04:20 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.4 | $32.78 |
| 07-31 09:49 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.31 | $19.13 |
| 07-29 11:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.61 |
| 07-25 03:43 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.2420282856 | $14.03 |
| 07-25 03:37 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.46 | $28.21 |
| 07-24 20:22 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.51 |
| 07-23 06:17 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.04 | $16.42 |
| 07-21 07:10 | Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.0547587253 | $2.17 |
| 07-21 07:05 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? | SELL | 0.1651568133 | $17.04 |
| 07-19 05:30 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? | BUY | 0.0288305085 | $4.25 |
| 07-18 04:19 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 07-16 09:15 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.037 | $10.08 |
| 07-16 09:14 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0369326955 | $7.68 |
| 07-16 08:43 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? | BUY | 0.0536382536 | $6.19 |