mysterystrangr
0xe30bfb6336b72ec888b077d7daa9b2a546a498cc
- Realised P&L
- $-259.46
- Volume
- $16.3k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $125.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.030 | $50.76 | −$9.15 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.018 | $42.64 | +$2.32 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.034 | $16.75 | −$38.25 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.122 | $14.42 | +$7.70 |
| Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.001 | $0.47 | −$39.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.426 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.47 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.408 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$146.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.84at 0.353Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
- +$34.49at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$20.63at 0.046Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
- +$18.90at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
- +$16.95at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 12:29 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $27.14 |
| 10-01 11:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $17.85 |
| 10-01 11:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $12.64 |
| 09-28 03:30 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $6.80 |
| 09-28 03:30 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.37 |
| 09-18 04:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $33.98 |
| 09-17 06:00 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.11 | $21.30 |
| 09-14 12:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.40 |
| 09-13 00:39 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.29 | $60.13 |
| 09-13 00:37 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.28 | $11.20 |
| 08-14 06:09 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? | SELL | 0.351 | $11.15 |
| 08-06 08:07 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.1824390244 | $7.48 |
| 08-03 10:17 | Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.0309842907 | $15.74 |
| 08-01 04:20 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.4 | $32.78 |
| 07-31 09:49 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.31 | $19.13 |