0xE308f43D2994AA3fd2F2Bfe5816EA0DEac4240Ae-1778957471961
0xe308f43d2994aa3fd2f2bfe5816ea0deac4240ae
- Realised P&L
- $29.51
- Volume
- $39.4k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $958.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 21:15 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $43.19 |
| 10-10 21:14 | Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-04 22:34 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $35.40 |
| 10-04 22:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0233624656 | $1.87 |
| 10-04 22:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 10-04 21:51 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.949 | $94.90 |
| 09-27 20:35 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.416 | $2.70 |
| 09-27 20:30 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 09-27 20:26 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 09-27 20:25 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 09-25 21:30 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.966 | $9.34 |
| 09-16 16:53 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.651 | $7.55 |
| 08-05 09:20 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.9492505 | $18.99 |
| 08-05 09:20 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.95125 | $38.05 |
| 08-04 20:17 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |