0xe301436f9ba8343d1ca083b00289eee7937bb514
- Realised P&L
- $-20.06
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 789
- Open portfolio
- $42.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded789
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.96at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8AM ET
- +$2.46at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6AM ET
- +$2.43at 0.736Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?
- +$2.30at 0.747Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$2.26at 0.749Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:58 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $4.49 |
| 09-18 01:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.49 |
| 09-17 23:58 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $4.49 |
| 09-17 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $4.49 |
| 09-17 20:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.48 |
| 09-17 19:57 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.889999992 | $4.46 |
| 09-17 09:58 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $4.46 |
| 09-17 08:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.46 |
| 09-17 05:57 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $4.46 |
| 09-17 03:58 | XRP Up or Down - September 16, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $4.46 |
| 09-17 00:57 | XRP Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $4.45 |
| 09-17 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.996 | $4.45 |
| 09-16 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $4.45 |
| 09-16 08:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $4.42 |
| 09-16 05:56 | Solana Up or Down - September 16, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.9439999983 | $4.41 |