PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe301436f9ba8343d1ca083b00289eee7937bb514

Realised P&L
$-20.06
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
789
Open portfolio
$42.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded789
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? · Yes0.9970.994$4.47$0.02
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.997$4.42$0.00
Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026? · No0.9990.998$4.40$0.01
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.985$4.35$0.06
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$4.11$0.06
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$4.11$0.06
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$4.07$0.10
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.968$4.04$0.13
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$4.00$0.17
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.934$3.90$0.27
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9980.144$0.60$3.57
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? · No0.9990.000$0.00$4.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00$4.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET · Down0.9900.000$0.00$4.37
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor? · No0.9990.000$0.00$5.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:58Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.999$4.49
09-18 01:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.99$4.49
09-17 23:58Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999998$4.49
09-17 21:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5PM ETBUY0.9969999998$4.49
09-17 20:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4PM ETBUY0.99$4.48
09-17 19:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ETBUY0.889999992$4.46
09-17 09:58XRP Up or Down - September 17, 5AM ETBUY0.999$4.46
09-17 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ETBUY0.99$4.46
09-17 05:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ETBUY0.998$4.46
09-17 03:58XRP Up or Down - September 16, 11PM ETBUY0.999$4.46
09-17 00:57XRP Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ETBUY0.999$4.45
09-17 00:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ETBUY0.996$4.45
09-16 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3PM ETBUY0.999$4.45
09-16 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4AM ETBUY0.88$4.42
09-16 05:56Solana Up or Down - September 16, 1AM ETBUY0.9439999983$4.41