fffdddff
0xe2e56f3707fe752b0814e2fb8487d52b1d97b03f
- Realised P&L
- $-537.23
- Volume
- $29.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $872.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.155 | $317.90 | −$179.33 |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.685 | $282.22 | −$59.74 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.155 | $272.55 | −$114.29 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$175.00 |
| Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.20at 0.900Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 11:56 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $77.04 |
| 07-27 11:51 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $77.28 |
| 07-27 11:47 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $74.64 |
| 07-27 11:31 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $68.40 |
| 07-27 11:04 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $74.88 |
| 07-26 12:46 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $62.50 |
| 07-26 12:36 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $62.50 |
| 06-29 12:47 | Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $128.70 |
| 06-29 12:42 | Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $125.05 |
| 06-29 12:36 | Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $72.60 |
| 06-29 12:36 | Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $60.50 |
| 06-29 09:27 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $48.00 |
| 06-02 12:42 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $175.00 |