PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fgehua

0xe2dd855a8d99f5743bd5ea11832c335bc6cdd68e

Realised P&L
$284.60
Volume
$23.3k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$824.88

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7700.725$289.99−$18.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.410$164.00+$24.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.961$96.06+$8.05
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.5200.585$58.50+$6.50
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4700.510$51.00+$4.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5650.165$49.50−$120.00
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9150.973$34.04+$1.99
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9480.790$23.70−$4.74
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.9340.758$18.95−$4.40
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9030.454$13.61−$13.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6340.160$11.20−$33.20
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5600.525$10.50−$0.70
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.1760.866$3.45+$2.75
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.1760.055$0.22−$0.48
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.1760.041$0.16−$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 08:27Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.74$11.10
07-27 04:20Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$99.89
07-27 04:15Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?SELL0.255$7.65
07-27 04:15Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?SELL0.256$5.12
07-24 12:53Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?SELL0.12$72.00
07-08 07:39Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?BUY0.7$70.00
06-17 08:00Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 22?BUY0.956$8.80
04-28 01:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?BUY0.92$36.38
04-08 01:43US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.002$0.20