PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xdgdg

0xe2c4d2e0bea577f4cd3e285d831209ca1cede9d6

Realised P&L
$-9.17
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$2.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat? · Yes0.7600.920$1.21+$0.21
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? · No0.9500.997$1.05+$0.05
Will Oval Invincibles win The Hundred Men's Competition 2025? · No0.7800.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 13:33Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.998$60.06
07-12 13:33Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.991$60.00
07-10 08:25Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.997$60.00
07-10 08:24Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9909999856$60.00
04-28 05:51Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.993$120.59
04-25 13:30Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.994$120.00
04-25 13:30Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.993$119.16
04-25 13:30Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.994$120.00
03-28 05:00Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.998$260.00
03-28 05:00Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.991$249.74
03-25 07:25Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.999$260.00
03-25 07:25Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.998$259.48
03-25 07:25Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.999$260.00
03-25 07:24Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$250.00
03-07 05:37Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.998$214.78