internav
0xe2b7dfe6af3109279bc004f3b4750f67460cb034
- Realised P&L
- $-5.60
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $12.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.295 | $6.15 | −$3.85 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.255 | $4.40 | −$0.60 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 17? · Up | 0.600 | 0.865 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.065 | $0.65 | −$1.85 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.62 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 16? · Up | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.70at 0.730Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$8.00at 0.600Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
- +$3.58at 0.660US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$3.25at 0.190Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$2.66at 0.150Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 20:14 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:13 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.8699994606 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 14:58 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 20:43 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 04-10 20:38 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 04-10 20:32 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 04-10 20:32 | Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 04-10 08:35 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting? | BUY | 0.8769999993 | $10.00 |
| 03-19 20:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.73 | $23.52 |
| 03-19 20:38 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $18.34 |
| 03-19 20:37 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 03-13 22:51 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.68 |
| 03-13 22:49 | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 03-13 22:42 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.6599999955 | $14.76 |