PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bmtest

0xe2b165d3a3ca2040bd7b6cc0eaecc9cfb2dd9218

Realised P&L
$-132.39
Volume
$40.9k
Markets traded
231
Open portfolio
$4.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded231
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3600.285$1.57$0.41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2050.145$1.45$0.60
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3600.115$0.70$1.48
Will Alberta join the US? · Yes0.0490.009$0.34$1.64
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open? · Yes0.9710.000$0.00$1.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Up0.1170.000$0.00$2.08
XRP Up or Down - January 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET · Up0.5180.000$0.00$1.98
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$9.90
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$1.98
BNB Up or Down - April 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Up0.3680.000$0.00$1.98
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 7AM ET · Up0.5390.000$0.00$1.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Down0.0110.000$0.00$3.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$1.86
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Up0.0110.000$0.00$1.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.6180.000$0.00$1.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-25 14:09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$1.98
05-25 14:00Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?BUY0.5099999974$1.98
05-25 13:46Dogecoin Up or Down on May 25?BUY0.889999991$1.98
05-25 13:39Will Alberta join the US? BUY0.0489063872$1.98
05-25 13:11Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3599999273$2.18
05-25 13:09Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.36$1.98
05-25 12:54Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.12$2.10
05-25 12:53Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1299999536$2.27
05-25 12:39Solana Up or Down on May 25?SELL0.84$2.04
05-25 09:36Solana Up or Down on May 25?BUY0.8$1.98
05-25 03:41Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?SELL0.71$2.00
05-25 03:40Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsSELL0.5$1.43
05-25 03:39Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.34$1.10
05-25 03:39MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$0.98
05-25 03:39Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$0.91