bmtest
0xe2b165d3a3ca2040bd7b6cc0eaecc9cfb2dd9218
- Realised P&L
- $-132.39
- Volume
- $40.9k
- Markets traded
- 231
- Open portfolio
- $4.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded231
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.76at 0.296Spurs vs. Lakers
- +$6.69at 0.372Will Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$6.11at 0.830Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET
- +$3.43at 0.377Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
- +$3.14at 0.510XRP Up or Down - December 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 14:09 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.98 |
| 05-25 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.5099999974 | $1.98 |
| 05-25 13:46 | Dogecoin Up or Down on May 25? | BUY | 0.889999991 | $1.98 |
| 05-25 13:39 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.0489063872 | $1.98 |
| 05-25 13:11 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3599999273 | $2.18 |
| 05-25 13:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.98 |
| 05-25 12:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.10 |
| 05-25 12:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999536 | $2.27 |
| 05-25 12:39 | Solana Up or Down on May 25? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.04 |
| 05-25 09:36 | Solana Up or Down on May 25? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.98 |
| 05-25 03:41 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 03:40 | Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | SELL | 0.5 | $1.43 |
| 05-25 03:39 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.10 |
| 05-25 03:39 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $0.98 |
| 05-25 03:39 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.91 |