0x16EF
0xe26cb7625eefb1f9625810d6a4c9096ca8cd48f5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $204.4k
- Markets traded
- 4,242
- Open portfolio
- $44.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,242
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? · No | 0.880 | 0.785 | $39.25 | −$4.75 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.830 | $5.23 | −$0.57 |
| Will Red Bull Salzburg finish first in UEL league phase? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.021 | $0.27 | −$0.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$874.54at 0.202Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
- +$438.20at 0.440Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$178.57at 0.250SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
- +$172.96at 0.262Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$99.59at 0.300Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:35 | Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 09-18 00:10 | Will Bradley Barcola score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 22:58 | Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.074 | $1.76 |
| 09-17 22:33 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.84 | $25.12 |
| 09-17 22:33 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.09 |
| 09-17 21:33 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 09-17 21:29 | Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.18 |
| 09-17 21:29 | Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.42 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 18:41 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $135.00 |
| 09-17 18:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $557.63 |
| 09-17 18:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.942 | $6.98 |
| 09-17 17:57 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 17:54 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.16 |
| 09-17 17:53 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.00 |