0xe22e57a4aa12c6aa0e3aa94d46375be947e6010b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.08
- Volume
- $232.02
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $0.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.005 | $0.61 | −$1.39 |
| New Zealand Warriors vs. Newcastle Knights · New Zealand Warriors | 0.660 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.55at 0.227Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
- +$3.23at 0.622Will Bangladesh win?
- +$2.52at 0.677Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?
- +$1.40at 0.789Will South Africa win in regulation?
- +$1.21at 0.761Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 00:53 | New Zealand Warriors vs. Newcastle Knights | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 09-15 22:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:28 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 20:22 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0939999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 20:20 | New Zealand Warriors vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 20:19 | Will South Africa win in regulation? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 05:07 | New Zealand Warriors vs. Manly Sea Eagles | SELL | 0.55 | $2.67 |
| 09-03 23:49 | New Zealand Warriors vs. Manly Sea Eagles | BUY | 0.7599999589 | $3.70 |
| 09-03 23:48 | Will South Africa win in regulation? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 08-30 23:11 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | SELL | 0.972 | $10.40 |
| 08-21 02:56 | Will South Africa win in regulation? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 18:44 | Penrith Panthers vs. Canterbury Bulldogs | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 18:42 | Sydney Roosters vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 18:41 | New Zealand Warriors vs. Newcastle Knights | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 21:17 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.25 |