leonzzzz
0xe22c349df7f1533f96f6b901137840a23f73e5d4
- Realised P&L
- $37.02
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $192.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.365 | $107.35 | +$7.35 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.555 | $68.52 | −$31.48 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes | 0.224 | 0.076 | $16.99 | −$33.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.25at 0.640US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$14.74at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$2.04at 0.715Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
- +$-5.34at 0.024Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$-25.49at 0.734Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 21:19 | Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2235996453 | $50.00 |
| 09-04 21:19 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 19:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $25.00 |
| 08-11 19:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 18:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 18:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 18:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0225580871 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 18:48 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 08-09 21:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |