PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tellon

0xe224da216d6bf9479f8ddc7b099d514cb3a7ac2d

Realised P&L
$-55.35
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$13.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.225$4.89$0.11
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.1500.145$4.83$0.17
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0600.026$2.21$2.79
Will Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.5100.110$1.08$3.92
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · Yes0.2520.038$0.75$4.25
Monaco vs. Barcelona · Barcelona0.5210.000$0.00$20.95
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by December 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.99
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June? · No0.2500.000$0.00$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No0.3500.000$0.00$10.00
Panathinaikos vs. Valencia · Panathinaikos0.6600.000$0.00$20.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 28? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 22:20Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.229999994$5.00
09-09 22:13Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
09-09 22:12Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?BUY0.149999997$5.00
09-09 22:09Will Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.5099999776$5.00
06-14 02:27Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.25$5.00
06-14 02:24Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?BUY0.25$3.00
06-14 02:23Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?BUY0.0579999464$1.00
06-14 02:21Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0789999857$5.00
06-14 02:21Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1659999774$5.00
06-14 02:20Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1149999819$5.00
06-14 02:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.209999974$5.00
06-14 02:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.269999937$3.00
05-06 17:20Panathinaikos vs. ValenciaBUY0.6599999954$20.00
04-24 16:01Monaco vs. BarcelonaBUY0.4899999939$19.39
02-28 19:26US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY0.08$5.00