tellon
0xe224da216d6bf9479f8ddc7b099d514cb3a7ac2d
- Realised P&L
- $-55.35
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $13.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.00at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$23.82at 0.296Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?
- +$19.22at 0.510US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$15.71at 0.560Bitcoin above $118K on August 18?
- +$12.26at 0.620US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 22:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 22:13 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 22:12 | Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 22:09 | Will Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 02:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 02:24 | Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 06-14 02:23 | Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June? | BUY | 0.0579999464 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 02:21 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0789999857 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 02:21 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1659999774 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 02:20 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1149999819 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 02:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 02:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 05-06 17:20 | Panathinaikos vs. Valencia | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 04-24 16:01 | Monaco vs. Barcelona | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $19.39 |
| 02-28 19:26 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |