tz1377
0xe222bfd82a2de2bd964089135b24ba98cd526d83
- Realised P&L
- $1.42
- Volume
- $184.40
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $29.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.405 | $12.15 | −$1.05 |
| Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year? · No | 0.690 | 0.790 | $6.32 | +$0.80 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.225 | $5.63 | −$4.88 |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.470 | $5.36 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.01at 0.699Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "World Cup" during earnings call?
- +$-1.59at 0.952Will Trump say "Boeing" in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:03 | Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "World Cup" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 10-04 14:56 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $0.77 |
| 10-04 14:49 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 10-03 17:38 | Will Trump say "Boeing" in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 10-03 01:23 | Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year? | BUY | 0.69 | $5.52 |
| 09-28 21:06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.50 |
| 09-28 19:50 | Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $13.20 |