tgsdgbs
0xe21a7004cf88ce6b6c77e21ec9248879fff963aa
- Realised P&L
- $-0.82
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $19.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.986 | 0.997 | $10.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $4.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in September? · No | 0.997 | 0.961 | $4.82 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.21at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?
- +$0.01at 0.993Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 16?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 16?
- +$-0.25at 0.999Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.25at 0.999Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 08:53 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 06:31 | Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 07:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999807 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 07:21 | Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $231.77 |
| 06-09 07:21 | Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $232.00 |
| 06-09 07:21 | Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $231.77 |
| 06-09 07:21 | Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $232.00 |
| 06-09 07:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? | SELL | 0.998 | $231.77 |
| 06-09 07:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $232.00 |
| 06-09 07:20 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $231.77 |
| 06-09 07:20 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $232.00 |
| 04-16 07:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 16? | BUY | 0.9919991671 | $1.01 |
| 04-16 07:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.25 |
| 04-16 07:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $229.97 |