PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

tgsdgbs

0xe21a7004cf88ce6b6c77e21ec9248879fff963aa

Realised P&L
$-0.82
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$19.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration95.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9860.997$10.11+$0.11
Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9990.998$4.99$0.01
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in September? · No0.9970.961$4.82$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 08:53Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in September?BUY0.997$5.00
08-20 06:31Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.999$5.00
07-20 07:46Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9859999807$10.00
06-09 07:21Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.998$231.77
06-09 07:21Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$232.00
06-09 07:21Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.998$231.77
06-09 07:21Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$232.00
06-09 07:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9?SELL0.998$231.77
06-09 07:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9?BUY0.999$232.00
06-09 07:20Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.998$231.77
06-09 07:20Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.999$232.00
04-16 07:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 16?BUY0.9919991671$1.01
04-16 07:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 16?BUY0.999$2.25
04-16 07:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?BUY0.999$229.97